October 30 marked the 87th anniversary of the most successful production of a science fiction work in history. Herbert Wells’ radio play “The War of the Worlds” was so carefully styled to resemble a real news report from the scene of events that many listeners believed in the reality of an alien invasion. You can laugh at this story, or you can think about how protected we are in today’s world of deepfakes, clip thinking, and crazy events in world politics from repeating this. Or, conversely, failing to respond to a genuine alien invasion.

Alien invasion

The War of the Worlds, 1938

Imagine the situation. It’s the eighth evening, and you’re doing your household chores. There’s an entertainment program on the radio, the hosts are joking, talking about some adaptation of a science fiction novel, announcing the weather forecast, and then music starts playing.

Suddenly, the concert is interrupted by breaking news. Astronomers report that several powerful flashes have been spotted on Mars. After that, pleasant music plays again, as if nothing has happened.

However, the music doesn’t play for long. Because the news comes back on. The reporter says that an unknown cylindrical object has fallen near a small town somewhere in your country. You look at the map and realize that the town is completely real and located exactly where the reporter says, and he continues to describe what is happening.

Would you believe reports of aliens landing?
Source: evil.fandom.com

The cylinder unscrews and monsters with pike heads crawl out of it. The local police try to establish contact with them, but they start shooting with ray guns. The broadcast is interrupted and the announcer says something about technical problems. The music starts playing again, but soon reports come in about new attacks by strange creatures and fires.

It seems that an alien invasion has begun and something has to be done. According to radio reports, fighting is taking place in the capital, and your neighbors are knocking on your door in a panic. Some are packing an “emergency suitcase,” while others are cleaning their weapons.

Meanwhile, the nature of the broadcast changes and it begins to resemble a radio play. Soon it becomes clear that this is exactly what it is. You breathe a sigh of relief and say a few swear words to the radio station.

Looks like a new episode of Black Mirror? But no, this is a completely true story that took place in the United States in 1938. Theater director Orson Welles decided to stage a radio play based on the book The War of the Worlds by his famous namesake Herbert Wells. For this purpose, he moved the Martians’ landing from early 20th-century England to the United States in 1938. However, this was not enough for him, and he decided to stylize it as real news reports. He succeeded.

Orson Welles.
Source: Wikipedia

The extent of the panic caused by people believing that the landing was real was greatly exaggerated by the newspapers at the time. However, the fact remains that thousands of people believed it, despite the fact that the hosts said at the very beginning of the broadcast that it was a staged event. People were really panicking and calling everywhere they could, and the police arrived at the radio station to force it to stop spreading panic.

The era of fake news

Here, one could laugh at the gullibility and inattentiveness, if we were even slightly different from those listeners. By 1938, radio listeners were already quite familiar with the story, and stylizing the production to resemble real events was not something completely new. Wells’ book was also well known. And none of this prevented people from, as we would say today, falling for the fake.

In the 87 years since that play, we have seen alien invasions many times in films and TV series. We know that it is not difficult to create not only audio but also video footage that, under certain conditions, will look like proof that someone has flown in to visit us. Especially if this video is posted on social media, where it will be flooded with comments and reposts and eventually reported in the news.

Nowadays, it is even possible to create a fake photo of the Pope embracing Madonna.
Source: www.theguardian.com

Would you believe such a video? What about three videos depicting three different episodes of the invasion? Would you scrutinize the details, looking for signs of rubber tentacles and evidence that the flying saucer is painted? Especially if, on top of that, there is a comment from some “expert” explaining that this frame clearly shows the inhuman anatomy of the aliens, and that the “death rays” captured by the camera have no analogues among earthly developments.

And all this is the reality of the second decade of the 21st century, and we are already living in the third. Generating video using artificial intelligence has long been a reality. The modern Orson Welles simply did not get there first.

We should admit that we live in the age of fake news, and we are less protected from mistaking “entertainment content” for news from the scene than listeners of American radio in 1938. The arsenal of ways to deceive the neural network in our heads has grown incredibly.

As for aliens, we don’t even know why we should believe in them or not, because we’ve only seen them in movies. It is quite possible that they really do have six fingers on each hand. Or maybe they don’t have hands at all, and they simply flow from one form to another, in each of which we can see something like arms and legs, but woven together in such a combination that it immediately becomes obvious that it is the AI that drew it.

Who knows how many fingers aliens really have?
Source: phys.org

International politics

When discussing the events of 1938 and considering whether something similar could happen again in 2025 or 2026, it is difficult not to mention the word “politics.” The fact is that many people who took the radio broadcast of The War of the Worlds for a real invasion thought that the Germans had attacked the United States. No, most Americans knew that Germans did not have tentacles, but the political situation in the world was rapidly spiraling toward the start of World War II, and people were already so hyped up by the news that they were ready to hear news of a landing, just not Martians.

In general, this is a very complex problem: we believe what we are prepared to believe. A large part of the population is capable of interpreting certain natural events as manifestations of what they believe in. In other words, if Orson Welles’ radio broadcast is successfully replicated, a certain number of people will start posting messages on social media saying that they personally have seen an alien spacecraft, attaching photos showing clouds or the planet Venus.

The overlay of all this with news that sounds no more optimistic than it did before World War II greatly contributes to the general expectation that some kind of invasion is bound to begin. Politicians sometimes make statements so strange that it’s hard not to suspect they’re being controlled by aliens. And high-tech invasions of one country by another have long since become a reality.

At night, drones are difficult to distinguish from UFOs.
Source: nypost.com

We should not forget about the rapid development of unmanned aerial vehicles. In just one decade, they have evolved into aircraft that experts would have considered science fiction twenty years ago. At the same time, most military drones have never been seen by the general public, which is why they can easily be mistaken for UFOs at dusk.

A characteristic example here is the unidentified drones over the countries of Northern Europe, which have been terrorizing local airports and military bases over the past few months. Many believe that these are truly alien craft, and this claim interacts in a complex way with the assumption that, in reality, these drones belong to Russia.

Doesn’t this situation resemble the one in the late 1930s, when the Germans were about to invade somewhere? After all, no one would dare claim that aliens couldn’t have drones of their own. Which means that footage of one of the most advanced drones in action can easily be passed off as evidence of extraterrestrial existence — and many people would believe it.

But what if they actually arrive?

So far, we’ve been talking about how not to believe a fake about aliens. But, theoretically, the opposite problem is also possible: beings from other worlds could arrive and reveal themselves openly — yet no one would believe it, because everyone knows how easy it is to create a fake video.

When you flew in to make contact, and everyone thought you were fake.
Source: phys.org

It’s one thing when it’s a real invasion. Whether it’s a laser beam or a missile — when it hits something near you, all doubts disappear. Of course, it would be nice to know that someone has attacked Earth before you experience it firsthand, but, let’s be honest, this problem is unsolvable even in earthly wars.

But the situation in which aliens arrive and stop somewhere beyond Neptune’s orbit, politely talking with world leaders while waiting to be invited to Earth, is much worse. Even if the aliens deliver a greeting to all the peoples of Earth and it is broadcast on every TV channel, it would still be less convincing than the 1938 radio adaptation of The War of the Worlds.

Because just as people believe what they’re ready to believe, they don’t believe what they’re not ready to perceive. So it’s easy to imagine a situation where humanity has been communicating with aliens for decades, dozens of videos featuring them are available online, thousands of people have met them in person — yet tens of millions keep insisting that it’s all fake.

Therefore, there are no universal tips on how to tell a fake about aliens from a real invasion. Except, perhaps, to listen carefully to the radio broadcast from the very beginning — they might mention there that it’s all just a dramatization.